Warlike-Harvester
0x87e2ba12fec32d7f232c740329463fa9d3c77893
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$142.45
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$105.38
Win rate
7%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
315 shares @ 25.4¢·now 22.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$71.97
$-8.03
- YES
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?
113 shares @ 46.2¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$58.31
$6.01
- YES
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1873 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.18
$-10.30
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
30000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 6?
3862 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-64.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on June 1?
3413 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-47.47
- YES
Will Cape Verde score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1205 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-28.12
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
1040 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-38.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 29?
982 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.94
- YES
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
762 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-37.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Aug 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 5, 02:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 30, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $41.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 17:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.