Identical-Circumference

• YES

  AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

  6383 shares @ 19.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $5.8K

  $4.5K

• YES

  Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

  145 shares @ 48.8¢·now 27.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026

  $39.86

  $-30.86

• YES

  Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

  308 shares @ 22.5¢·now 10.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026

  $30.77

  $-38.61

• YES

  Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

  127 shares @ 17.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Feb 28, 2026

  $6.53

  $-15.37

• YES

  Will any xAI Grok model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?

  20 shares @ 10.7¢·now 19.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026

  $3.91

  $1.77

• YES

  Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?

  76 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $0.68

  $-9.20

• NO

  SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?

  32 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027

  $0.00

  $-2.27

• UP

  Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

  22 shares @ 76.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026

  $0.00

  $-17.00

• YES

  Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

  12 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026

  $0.00

  $-2.88

• TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$12.17May 18, 16:59 UTC
• TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.11May 18, 16:59 UTC
• TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$17.27May 18, 16:59 UTC
• TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$35.38May 5, 11:52 UTC
• TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$65.16May 5, 11:52 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$13.15Apr 21, 03:27 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$6.31Apr 21, 03:27 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$56.32Apr 21, 03:27 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$14.40Apr 21, 03:26 UTC
• TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$8.64Apr 21, 03:25 UTC
• TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$5.62Apr 21, 03:25 UTC
• TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$6.11Apr 21, 03:25 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$2.36Apr 21, 03:25 UTC
• TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$18.88Apr 21, 03:24 UTC
• TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$3.39Apr 21, 03:24 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$46.80Apr 21, 03:24 UTC
• TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$246.45Apr 21, 03:23 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$2.44Apr 13, 18:23 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$6.75Apr 13, 18:15 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$13.48Apr 13, 18:14 UTC

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