Appropriate-Couch
0x87ee87f573a6ab675f56d6279daf4f5448456919
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$167.29
Total PnL
$-17.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.45
$-0.55
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
53 shares @ 95.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$48.87
$-1.13
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.97
$-1.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Bitcoin above 65,200 on June 22, 12PM ET?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Jun 24, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$48.72Jun 24, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.68Jun 24, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$22.33Jun 24, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.23Jun 24, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.35Jun 24, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.19Jun 24, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.35Jun 24, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$21.45Jun 24, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?$19.89Jun 23, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?$15.26Jun 23, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?$3.63Jun 23, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?$10.08Jun 23, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?$5.24Jun 23, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3PM ET$12.82Jun 22, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$20.00Jun 22, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3PM ET$10.15Jun 22, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3PM ET$2.89Jun 22, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3PM ET$5.22Jun 22, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 65,200 on June 22, 12PM ET?$10.48Jun 22, 15:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $17.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 21:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 14:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.