Huge-Toot
0x87f81a302c51a2468da6ebf379404b70347eb109
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$317.11
Total PnL
$-68.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
50 shares @ 96.7¢·now 93.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.70
$-1.65
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
49 shares @ 94.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$45.47
$-0.83
- NO
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $136 Week of July 13 2026?
50 shares @ 91.1¢·now 90.4¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$45.20
$-0.35
- NO
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
50 shares @ 76.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$35.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
50 shares @ 74.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$34.49
$-2.50
- NO
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?
50 shares @ 89.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$34.25
$-10.25
- YES
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 23, 2027$31.75
$-13.75
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?
50 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.50
$-2.00
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?
50 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.85
$-3.15
- YES
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$3.75
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Darius Acuff Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$2.76Jul 14, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darius Acuff Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$1.45Jul 14, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darius Acuff Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$1.45Jul 14, 01:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.51Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.26Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$116.74Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in United States?$48.35Jul 13, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?$46.31Jul 13, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$38.00Jul 13, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?$37.00Jul 13, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?$6.27Jul 13, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$9.70Jul 13, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?$26.82Jul 13, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?$34.28Jul 13, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?$3.85Jul 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the OH-13 House seat?$3.93Jul 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLCilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?$4.10Jul 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?$40.41Jul 13, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$40.70Jul 13, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?$2.00Jul 13, 20:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $18.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 14:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 01:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.