Recent-Mankind
0x8808bf2943569c10963e2cfa1a2fbd51b29e3401
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$45.36
Total PnL
$-312.89
Realised
$2.81
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
152 shares @ 39.4¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.03
$-21.97
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.48
$-1.52
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.86
$1.86
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
1500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
719 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-227.25
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
180 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in March?
50 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$0.00Jun 14, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$5.06Jun 13, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$218.76Jun 13, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$40.00Jun 12, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$200.00Jun 12, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$20.00Jun 10, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.00Jun 10, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$32.14May 30, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$37.50May 30, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$20.00May 29, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$30.00May 29, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$1.21May 28, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$0.29May 28, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$3.00May 28, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$59.82May 28, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 24?$50.00May 28, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$30.82May 28, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$91.68May 28, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$11.76May 28, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$8.05May 28, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $40.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 03:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.