Stimulating-Kill
0x880c3700c6c2684084e0d3e6e63e052ec333440a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$6.1K
Total PnL
$-32.24
Realised
$20.98
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.1K
$1.6K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$974.51
$8.49
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$932.50
$-1.6K
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
266 shares @ 41.4¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$71.82
$-38.42
- NO
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
132 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$42.81
$0.66
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
30 shares @ 61.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$24.99
$6.39
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
8089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.22
$4.04
- YES
Will Jorden Van Foreest win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?
1 shares @ 3.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.25
$0.22
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
300 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jorden Van Foreest win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?$0.037h ago
- YIELD$0.6510h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?$43.011d ago
- YIELD$0.651d ago
- YIELD$0.652d ago
- YIELD$0.653d ago
- REDEEMWill Radosław Wojtaszek win the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Poland?$350.004d ago
- YIELD$0.684d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Radosław Wojtaszek win the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Poland?$119.885d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Radosław Wojtaszek win the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Poland?$99.815d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Radosław Wojtaszek win the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Poland?$99.035d ago
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$300.005d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Radosław Wojtaszek win the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Poland?$4.955d ago
- YIELD$0.695d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Radosław Wojtaszek win the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Poland?$11.826d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Radosław Wojtaszek win the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Poland?$12.936d ago
- YIELD$0.696d ago
- YIELD$0.697d ago
- YIELD$0.698d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$75.189d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $102.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 17d ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".