Stimulating-Kill
0x880c3700c6c2684084e0d3e6e63e052ec333440a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-134.81
Realised
$20.98
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Alireza Firouzja Win the Sinquefield Cup?
2037 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$2.0K
$35.85
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$980.51
$14.49
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
30 shares @ 61.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$16.48
$-2.12
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
8089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-16.18
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
300 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.60
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
266 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-110.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Hikaru Nakamura Win Titled Tuesday?$170.00Jul 28, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maxime Vachier-Lagrave Win Titled Tuesday?$20.00Jul 28, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fabiano Caruana Win Titled Tuesday?$275.00Jul 28, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Javokhir Sindarov Win Titled Tuesday?$170.00Jul 28, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shamsiddin Vokhidov Win Titled Tuesday?$190.00Jul 28, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wesley So Win Titled Tuesday?$20.00Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aleksandr Shimanov Win Titled Tuesday?$175.00Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Renato Terry Lujan Win Titled Tuesday?$211.00Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vincent Keymer Win Titled Tuesday?$5.00Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Volen Dyulgerov Win Titled Tuesday?$90.00Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dincer Tasdogen Win Titled Tuesday?$503.00Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aleksandar Indjic Win Titled Tuesday?$20.00Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yoseph Theolifus Taher Win Titled Tuesday?$5.00Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Le Tuan Minh Win Titled Tuesday?$20.00Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ian Nepomniachtchi Win Titled Tuesday?$15.00Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cristobal Henriquez Villagra Win Titled Tuesday?$771.33Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Levon Aronian Win Titled Tuesday?$185.00Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vladislav Artemiev Win Titled Tuesday?$20.00Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu Win Titled Tuesday?$15.00Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nodirbek Abdusattorov Win Titled Tuesday?$15.00Jul 28, 19:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $60.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 15:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.