Actual-Yard
0x8835708df27899876de0d7038815b289f176cfcd
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$4.45
Total PnL
$-30.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$3.13
$2.13
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.32
$-3.68
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?
360 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.24
- YES
US strikes Iran by October 31?
351 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
254 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 28?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on October 28?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Austria join NATO by December 31?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$4.69Apr 1, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 4, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.00Feb 28, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.00Feb 28, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$3.00Feb 28, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?$4.24Feb 28, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$5.00Feb 28, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?$2.00Oct 27, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3500 and $3600 at the end of 2025?$1.00Oct 27, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$1.00Oct 27, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 27, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$1.00Oct 27, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by October 31?$2.00Oct 27, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria join NATO by December 31?$2.00Oct 27, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on October 28?$1.00Oct 27, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on October 28?$1.00Oct 27, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?$1.00Oct 27, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.00Oct 27, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 28?$1.00Oct 27, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on October 28?$1.00Oct 27, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 21:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".