Vivacious-Speed-Egghead
0x883ace63e37acdc34908b15eb362d46f3da9c133
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$141.56
Total PnL
$-186.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- SIMONA WALTERT
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherif
33 shares @ 46.7¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$15.02
$-0.38
- PABLO LLAMAS RUIZ
Bloomfield Hills: Alexis Galarneau vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz
29 shares @ 49.6¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$14.50
$0.12
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
12 shares @ 81.7¢·now 84.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$10.11
$0.30
- NO
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
10 shares @ 77.3¢·now 81.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$8.10
$0.38
- CHUN-HSIN TSENG
Estoril Open, Qualification: Vilius Gaubas vs Chun-Hsin Tseng
14 shares @ 50.1¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$7.00
$-0.01
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$6.19
$1.15
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.80
$0.58
- NO
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.64
$0.30
- YES
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
8 shares @ 61.1¢·now 70.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$5.64
$0.75
- YES
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$5.35
$0.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$5.99Jul 21, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalermo: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Lola Radivojevic$5.29Jul 21, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenerali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Facundo Acosta$5.36Jul 21, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherif$5.20Jul 21, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies$5.32Jul 21, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals$5.53Jul 21, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMPalermo: Tamara Zidansek vs Alevtina Ibragimova$14.00Jul 21, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMBloomfield Hills: Spencer Johnson vs Coleman Wong$10.00Jul 21, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$6.00Jul 21, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalermo: Tamara Zidansek vs Alevtina Ibragimova$4.49Jul 21, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Carol Young Suh Lee$5.14Jul 21, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$9.90Jul 21, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?$4.88Jul 21, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$5.52Jul 21, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBloomfield Hills: Evan Zhu vs Thanasi Kokkinakis$5.17Jul 21, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$4.72Jul 21, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$4.88Jul 21, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)$4.88Jul 21, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMGenerali Open: Laslo Djere vs Quentin Halys$12.00Jul 21, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMEstoril Open: Jan Choinski vs Jesper de Jong$11.00Jul 21, 12:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 13:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.