Unlawful-Bonfire
0x88934dbf05a17bede518d148cc09642dccc4be06
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$21.74
Total PnL
$-7.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.99
$0.08
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
7 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.16
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
7 shares @ 93.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.59
$0.16
- YES
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-05-31?
8167 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-05-31?
8094 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.6K
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1732 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.39
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1523 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.14
- YES
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
1011 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.70Jul 4, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$6.70Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$7.80Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.30Jun 17, 21:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$21.2K
Trades
1
Buy share
51%
Window
Jun 3, 17:10 UTC → Jun 3, 17:07 UTC
- SELLWill FC Universitario win on 2026-06-19?$10.3K@50¢Jun 3, 17:07 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
51%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will FC Universitario win on 2026-06-19?
$21.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $3.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 01:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.