0x88a184052f975276563a23880936f519f09655a0
0x88a184052f975276563a23880936f519f09655a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$25.47
Total PnL
$-808.66
Realised
$-396.06
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
25 shares @ 43.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.47
$14.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 13?
4143 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-262.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 14?
507 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-71.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 43°F or below on March 13?
163 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
122 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 12?
103 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?
66 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-11.39
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
52 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
26 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.91
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
26 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$11.00Mar 17, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 12?$0.00Mar 17, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 43°F or below on March 13?$0.00Mar 17, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 14?$0.00Mar 17, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 13?$0.00Mar 17, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?$0.75Mar 17, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMMore EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?$0.65Mar 17, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?$11.00Mar 17, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Mar 17, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?$0.00Mar 17, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMHouse passes Massie-Khanna war powers resolution by March 13?$0.00Mar 17, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$37.90Mar 17, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$7.00Mar 17, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$11.00Mar 17, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$57.35Mar 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?$3.48Mar 17, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 12?$5.00Mar 13, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 13?$262.86Mar 13, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 14?$71.00Mar 13, 00:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $37.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 05:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 01:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.