Wavy-Analyst
0x88b298bba500c29627291ba78f1fcdba110bf7a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$180.95
Total PnL
$-14.7K
Realised
$2.8K
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
600 shares @ 11.7¢·now 12.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$74.70
$4.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
549 shares @ 18.2¢·now 11.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$64.01
$-35.99
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3379 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$42.24
$-57.76
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
509435 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.3K
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
80000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-329.76
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
65000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?
28038 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-280.38
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
18201 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
14829 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-314.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
4682 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-46.82
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $47.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 07:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.