Simple-Violation
0x88b6e6704a2c3bdff2a7b21ce6b1b2e8f3343cff
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$24.4K
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$16.80
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
14672 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.2K
$235.51
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
4500 shares @ 92.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.4K
$245.25
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2500 shares @ 35.5¢·now 80.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.0K
$1.1K
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
2068 shares @ 52.8¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.1K
$34.70
- NO
Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?
1076 shares @ 87.7¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$990.31
$46.48
- NO
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?
1595 shares @ 52.6¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$454.35
$-385.12
- NO
Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?
410 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$377.77
$-3.86
- NO
Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?
366 shares @ 69.7¢·now 83.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$303.95
$48.63
- NO
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?
304 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$296.09
$7.59
- NO
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
255 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$240.38
$8.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.2KJun 11, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.96Jun 11, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$185.00Jun 11, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$204.25Jun 11, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$271.74Jun 11, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.2KJun 11, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$185.00Jun 11, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$370.00Jun 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$120.25Jun 11, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$12.33Jun 11, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$24.67Jun 11, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$370.00Jun 11, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLFetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?$4.90Jun 9, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLFetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?$4.90Jun 9, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLFetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?$19.60Jun 9, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026?$4.70Jun 8, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?$42.69Jun 8, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?$72.72Jun 8, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?$16.23Jun 8, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win on 2026-06-07?$19.35Jun 8, 00:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $189.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.