0x88c1e1927b0f3a19380f24b356a3f7ee0344017e
0x88c1e1927b0f3a19380f24b356a3f7ee0344017e
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-32.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2750 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.1K
$-13.75
- YES
Will Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?
320 shares @ 31.2¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$110.45
$10.45
- NO
Will Viking FK win on 2026-05-30?
176 shares @ 56.7¢·now 57.9¢·exp May 30, 2026$102.03
$2.03
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$101.65
$1.65
- NO
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-22?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$100.63
$0.63
- YES
Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-07-22?
189 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$99.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-07-21?
227 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$98.86
$-1.14
- NO
Will América FC win on 2026-07-21?
133 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$98.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-07-22?
476 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$97.62
$-2.38
- YES
Will Operário Ferroviário EC vs. AA Ponte Preta end in a draw?
476 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$97.62
$-2.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-22?$101.95Jul 21, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?$102.75Jul 21, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clube Náutico Capibaribe win on 2026-07-22?$102.35Jul 21, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-22?$101.00Jul 21, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$32.91Jul 21, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$21.69Jul 21, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$56.47Jul 21, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$42.29Jul 21, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-07-21?$102.80Jul 21, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-21?$0.00Jul 21, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21?$176.40Jul 21, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-07-21?$190.51Jul 21, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$102.40Jul 21, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Operário Ferroviário EC vs. AA Ponte Preta end in a draw?$103.95Jul 21, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$102.40Jul 21, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill América FC win on 2026-07-21?$101.25Jul 21, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gwangju FC win on 2026-07-22?$103.95Jul 21, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$102.40Jul 21, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$102.40Jul 21, 10:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $89.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 21:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.