Some-Futon
0x88c47444c4c775f2cfbf809e9b3b50ddcb338e58
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$0.41
Total PnL
$-286.78
Realised
$-1.15
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.22
$-0.78
- YES
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
2143 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 February 16-22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
619 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$0.56Jul 19, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$2.18Jul 19, 05:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$10.68Jul 19, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1.47Jul 19, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$10.51Mar 30, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2.26Mar 30, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$5.17Mar 30, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLNo listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027$1.36Mar 24, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high by September 30, 2026?$1.47Mar 24, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artemis II launch by April 30?$1.62Mar 24, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.86Mar 24, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$3.98Mar 24, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$3.05Mar 24, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$0.00Mar 23, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$13.35Mar 22, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$13.36Mar 22, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1.23Mar 22, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1.23Mar 22, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$8.91Mar 22, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$2.00Mar 22, 06:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 06:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 05:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.