Sardonic-Lentil
0x88c4919de76e526d55a32c1f8afb439dd1f1129a
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$864.2K
Total PnL
$-78.7K
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
917715 shares @ 72.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$766.3K
$103.9K
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
25561 shares @ 56.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$25.3K
$10.9K
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
15790 shares @ 68.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.8K
$4.0K
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
13509 shares @ 71.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.6K
$990.53
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
10890 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.5K
$1.5K
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
8109 shares @ 80.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.9K
$368.51
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
8566 shares @ 75.6¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.8K
$332.43
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
5618 shares @ 82.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.0K
$390.50
- NO
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
4247 shares @ 83.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.2K
$595.11
- NO
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
3898 shares @ 74.6¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.8K
$882.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by August 31?$210.00Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.0KJun 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 13?$2.3KJun 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by July 15?$97.00Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$31.00Jun 13, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by August 31?$299.00Jun 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 13?$426.79Jun 13, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$749.00Jun 13, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 13?$749.72Jun 13, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.9KJun 13, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$17.00Jun 13, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$222.00Jun 13, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by August 31?$648.00Jun 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by August 31?$498.00Jun 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by July 31?$206.00Jun 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$1000.00Jun 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$962.40Jun 13, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 12?$90.55Jun 13, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close its airspace by June 12?$3.4KJun 13, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$80.00Jun 12, 16:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $627.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 18:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.