Starry-God
0x88cc3c77e2d9ffa3f677397c560d2aff1343c3fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$19.30
Total PnL
$-7.77
Realised
$2.56
Win rate
50%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
5 shares @ 43.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$4.99
$2.80
- YES
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?
5 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.86
$3.40
- YES
Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$4.50
$1.71
- YES
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?
3 shares @ 16.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.78
$2.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 29?
1 shares @ 41.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$1.11
$0.64
- YES
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 16.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$1.05
$0.88
- YES
Will Melania say "Intelligence" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?
100 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.65
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?
50 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.65
- YES
Will Melania say "First Lady" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?
50 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
- YES
Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?
50 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$2.00Apr 18, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$0.79Apr 18, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$0.70Apr 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alfonso López Chau and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$0.01Apr 18, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?$1.21Apr 17, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$0.09Apr 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$1.91Apr 17, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 80-84 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$1.16Apr 12, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$0.91Apr 8, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$1.00Apr 8, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$0.14Apr 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?$1.17Apr 7, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$0.83Apr 7, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.34Apr 7, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$1.05Apr 7, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$1.05Apr 7, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$1.05Apr 7, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$2.05Apr 7, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$2.00Apr 7, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.10Apr 7, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
42/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 17:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.