0x88cec6f39049ae105203aad95fdac5f81e6a3a36
0x88cec6f39049ae105203aad95fdac5f81e6a3a36
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$106.02
Total PnL
$-5.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
169 shares @ 59.3¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$92.73
$-7.27
- NO
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by July 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 17.9¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.92
$5.92
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
35 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.29
$-3.71
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?
11 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$100.00Jul 4, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by July 31, 2026?$5.16Jul 4, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$165.76Jul 4, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$32.91Jul 2, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$37.98Jul 1, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$20.52Jul 1, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$96.21Jul 1, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$6.00Jun 30, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?$1.00Jun 30, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$15.00Jun 30, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$18.20Jun 29, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$15.53Jun 27, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$7.19Jun 25, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$6.39Jun 25, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$10.24Jun 24, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$6.81Jun 23, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$4.43Jun 21, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$15.00Jun 20, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$14.88Jun 20, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$43.00Jun 19, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $12.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 04:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.