0x88daaaf578742d4a6c5440afc6c6cb3e25f715c6
0x88daaaf578742d4a6c5440afc6c6cb3e25f715c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$6.6K
Total PnL
$773.58
Realised
$188.54
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1996 shares @ 68.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$353.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6000 shares @ 7.9¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$705.00
$231.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4480 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$611.48
$-106.51
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
601 shares @ 61.6¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$535.22
$164.90
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3137 shares @ 11.1¢·now 12.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$393.74
$45.50
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?
326 shares @ 61.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$323.89
$124.89
- NO
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?
218 shares @ 68.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$199.64
$50.39
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
4762 shares @ 4.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$192.86
$-7.14
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
301 shares @ 66.4¢·now 60.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$181.66
$-18.34
- NO
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
162 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$162.34
$37.34
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?$0.00Jun 20, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$126.49Jun 20, 03:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?$31.03Jun 19, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?$128.36Jun 19, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$125.00Jun 19, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$101.10Jun 19, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$229.06Jun 19, 01:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$40.18Jun 18, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$61.58Jun 18, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$24.18Jun 18, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpain leading at halftime?$0.00Jun 18, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?$18.41Jun 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?$1.63Jun 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$23.03Jun 18, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$28.41Jun 18, 13:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $119.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 05:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.