Vague-Speech
0x88e2b1b6c7847828fc91af43aba2fee07fb07489
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$134.5K
Total PnL
$16.7K
Realised
$5.0K
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
80000 shares @ 81.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.8K
$1.6K
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
29728 shares @ 78.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$29.5K
$6.1K
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
18276 shares @ 53.4¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.2K
$1.5K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
21721 shares @ 49.5¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.5K
$-217.03
- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?
7054 shares @ 82.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.0K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
6252 shares @ 70.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.4K
$1.1K
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
3795 shares @ 52.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$2.4K
$436.47
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
2238 shares @ 62.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.5K
$123.08
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
657 shares @ 5.5¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.53
$16.71
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
86 shares @ 48.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$52.03
$10.75
Recent activity
- REWARD$43.38Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.2KJun 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.1KJun 13, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.17Jun 13, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.35Jun 13, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$53.42Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$5.6KJun 13, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.3KJun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.5KJun 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?$123.44Jun 13, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$767.85Jun 13, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.1KJun 13, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$35.82Jun 13, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$4.71Jun 13, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$0.00Jun 13, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.1KJun 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.92Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.85Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.9KJun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11.38Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$17.0K
Trades
2
Buy share
43%
Window
May 22, 17:40 UTC → May 28, 15:13 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7.2K@89¢May 28, 15:13 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$9.7K@24¢May 22, 17:32 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$17.0K
2 trades
Buy share
43%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
$17.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 19:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.