Judicious-Award
0x88f5352ca3705c222904bfc072c78f47deb63d9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.97
Total PnL
$-922.90
Realised
$-287.69
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
29901 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-115.03
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
2703 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-98.47
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
286 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
217 shares @ 71.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-154.78
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
189 shares @ 56.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-107.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
100 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-26.84
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
100 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-26.84
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
43 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.93
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
30 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-13.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$46.80Mar 17, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$51.67Mar 16, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$0.01Mar 4, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$19.00Mar 3, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$19.99Mar 1, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$76.06Feb 28, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$68.75Feb 28, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$30.00Feb 27, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$12.00Feb 27, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$200.00Feb 27, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - February 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$203.86Feb 27, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$200.00Feb 27, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$201.81Feb 27, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$200.00Feb 27, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - February 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$25.78Feb 27, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$10.00Feb 27, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$10.00Feb 27, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$1.00Feb 27, 00:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $52.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 05:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 13:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.