Realistic-Payoff
0x88fe0cb92deca0c8460b313ab4aad55f0c02f516
Quality score
73/100
Open positions
33
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$118.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
2189 shares @ 91.3¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.1K
$133.55
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
1432 shares @ 69.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.4K
$440.31
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
391 shares @ 46.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$375.79
$195.82
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
354 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$347.85
$11.85
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
784 shares @ 63.8¢·now 43.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$338.61
$-161.39
- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
184 shares @ 54.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$160.88
$60.88
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
150 shares @ 74.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$127.50
$16.50
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
131 shares @ 95.5¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$124.08
$-0.92
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
227 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.86
$-1.14
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
270 shares @ 37.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.89
$-58.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$55.7157m ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$55.2958m ago
- YIELD$0.0118h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$125.001d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$80.003d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- YIELD$0.015d ago
- YIELD$0.016d ago
- YIELD$0.017d ago
- YIELD$0.018d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$50.408d ago
- YIELD$0.019d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$500.009d ago
- YIELD$0.0110d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$336.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$100.0010d ago
- YIELD$0.0111d ago
- YIELD$0.0112d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $180.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 29d ago
- Last active
- 57m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.