Bright-Nicety
0x8918864998b88b3844e91c8b2e639882b15df0ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
1055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 27?
701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 6?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 16?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 14?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$78.58Jun 1, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$78.50May 30, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$78.78May 26, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$78.70May 26, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$78.58May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$78.50May 22, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2.22May 22, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$80.78May 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$80.70May 14, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$80.78May 12, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$80.71May 12, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$80.68May 11, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$80.60May 10, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$80.58May 5, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$80.50May 5, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 27?$80.55May 5, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 27?$80.48Apr 27, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 27?$1.51Apr 27, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$82.00Apr 27, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$81.92Apr 22, 07:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $63.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 12:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.