Uneven-Contributor
0x891a84d29e6c30192d96ee7f8b63a959aa24a10b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.14
Total PnL
$-59.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
39 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.14
$-1.81
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
794 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?
194 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
108 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers $3.09May 9, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$3.09May 9, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.15May 9, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?$1.00Apr 23, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 23, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Burnley FC 1 - 1 Manchester City FC?$2.00Apr 22, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Burnley FC 2 - 1 Manchester City FC?$1.00Apr 22, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?$2.00Apr 22, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)$2.00Apr 22, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?$3.00Apr 22, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?$3.00Apr 22, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$1.00Apr 22, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$2.00Apr 20, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Everton FC 1 - 2 Liverpool FC?$41.16Apr 19, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Everton FC 1 - 2 Liverpool FC?$4.88Apr 19, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$6.00Apr 10, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?$3.37Apr 8, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$4.00Apr 4, 23:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $5.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 14:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 10:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.