Even-Hide
0x8930a6efbc8709c95d04bde591b46ecaf3789ac8
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$91.67
Total PnL
$-628.62
Realised
$151.45
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?
278 shares @ 25.2¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.40
$-25.60
- NO
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
1528 shares @ 4.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$37.43
$-36.81
- YES
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
460 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$9.84
$-13.16
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
5300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-24.16
- NO
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
1878 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-83.99
- YES
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
1426 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1258 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
762 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43.17Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$10.89Jul 15, 07:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$31.41Jul 13, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$47.26Jul 13, 07:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$68.33Jul 11, 08:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.23Jul 10, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.20Jul 10, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$10.37Jul 10, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$3.11Jul 10, 10:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?$6.23Jul 8, 08:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $23.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.