Marvelous-Challenge
0x894bd4bb18661b55e23a0dcb3993639c0ee245f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-362.15
Realised
$-82.60
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
565 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on September 12?
336 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Bull run: September
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
287 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
183 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-14.98
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
151 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
124 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-13.06
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Address to the Nation?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$23.29May 4, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$4.69Apr 8, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$88.77Apr 7, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$88.77Apr 7, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$39.52Apr 7, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$39.52Apr 7, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$81.59Apr 7, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$80.47Apr 7, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$91.14Apr 7, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$91.58Apr 7, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$105.84Apr 7, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$105.01Apr 7, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$113.16Apr 7, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$0.62Apr 7, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$0.29Apr 7, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$7.15Apr 7, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$25.86Apr 7, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$26.88Apr 7, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$34.71Apr 7, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$194.40Apr 7, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $48.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 23:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".