Reflecting-Amusement
0x89506a1b855075cd6412e3ced3ab5996b374a408
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$64.25
Total PnL
$-29.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?$53.45Feb 13, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$40.25Feb 13, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?$2.12Feb 12, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuman moon landing in 2026?$40.00Feb 7, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$42.35Feb 7, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$40.00Feb 4, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?$3.00Feb 2, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$20.00Jan 31, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$20.00Jan 31, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$91.73Jan 31, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$21.03Jan 31, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$21.04Jan 30, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$54.46Jan 25, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$20.48Jan 25, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$12.49Jan 25, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$0.03Jan 25, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$10.00Jan 25, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$1.00Jan 25, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?$18.97Jan 25, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?$18.13Jan 25, 01:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $26.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 21:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.