Insistent-Raincoat
0x8951dfc402715deba2cfe1d5ceaae68539046cee
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-83.70
Realised
$20.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
704 shares @ 38.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$376.38
$109.05
- YES
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
270 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$260.69
$12.28
- YES
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
547 shares @ 33.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.54
$-55.63
- YES
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
116 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.66
$71.71
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 69.6¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$72.75
$2.92
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
229 shares @ 40.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.75
$-71.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
31 shares @ 68.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$20.61
$-0.47
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
36 shares @ 60.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$20.34
$-1.26
- YES
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
600 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.50
$0.30
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
40 shares @ 49.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$18.60
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 13, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$114.16Jun 12, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$93.40Jun 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$49.57Jun 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.56Jun 12, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$15.23Jun 12, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$21.38Jun 12, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$27.13Jun 12, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$4.97Jun 12, 15:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.55Jun 11, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$20.50Jun 11, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.85Jun 11, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.50Jun 11, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.63Jun 11, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.26Jun 11, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$20.82Jun 11, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$21.77Jun 11, 16:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $32.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 11:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 04:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.