Sociable-Ash
0x89678514a53fea714c5791c6f8be21bfe3f641ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.85
Total PnL
$-128.51
Realised
$0.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will voter turnout be 51-54% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.85
$-6.15
- YES
Will Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?
568 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$0.00
$-6.46
- YES
Will Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
384 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.44
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
250 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
150 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-67.50
- YES
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
150 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.50
- YES
Will Heather Humphreys win by 0–5%?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will turnout be between 36% and 40% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.02Jun 11, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 51-54% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$8.00May 31, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.48May 23, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.04May 23, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.00May 23, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.16May 23, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.08May 23, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.20May 23, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.02May 23, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.03May 23, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.04May 23, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.12May 23, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.09May 23, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.07May 23, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.02May 23, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.08May 23, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$0.04May 23, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election?$5.19May 23, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$5.38May 14, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$0.19Mar 27, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 25, 08:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 15:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.