Rash-Panther
0x896ddbb5508c4851f1c73a498ecc0cf7c269a2a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$4.57
Total PnL
$-6.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
8 shares @ 13.1¢·now 13.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4 shares @ 22.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
5 shares @ 22.2¢·now 8.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.39
$-0.61
- YES
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 10?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 30?
212 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$8.55Jul 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$1.04Jul 18, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$3.33Jul 18, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$1.02Jul 18, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jul 11, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.01Jul 11, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.00Jul 11, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.03Jul 11, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$1.03Jul 11, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$1.03Jul 11, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.04Jul 11, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 11, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$1.43Jul 11, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$4.41Jul 11, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 20?$1.04Jun 20, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.39Jun 20, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$1.03Jun 20, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$1.01Jun 20, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 10?$1.05Jun 10, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 30?$1.05May 29, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.