Spotted-Efficacy
0x896e299faf7e6359a353e20cddcc3364fbe553f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-216.3K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
144469 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
87114 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.2K
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
44116 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-132.22
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38988 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29147 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.0K
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?
28795 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
25817 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.0K
- MEXICO
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
25591 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.0K
- YES
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
22876 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?
22727 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.13Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$33.15Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$4.4KJul 18, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 1 England?$523.86Jul 18, 21:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.18Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.24Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.73Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.16Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$200.29Jul 15, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 15, 07:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.74Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$126.44Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.5KJul 14, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$5.2KJul 14, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$5.2KJul 14, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?$1.0KJul 14, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?$1.6KJul 14, 18:17 UTC
- YIELD$1.80Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$287.56Jul 13, 16:49 UTC
- YIELD$1.85Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$49.9K
Trades
1
Buy share
30%
Window
Jun 17, 00:10 UTC → Jul 11, 23:52 UTC
- SELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.2K@2¢Jul 1, 03:05 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 6 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$6.2K
1 trades
Buy share
30%
Sample
limited
6 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
$15.0K · 30% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $5.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.