Grown-Arrogance
0x897a3146a9dadfbec9c339364a9a6bd07994b17e
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$143.78
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$-27.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Jean-Paul Bourgeois win Chopped Castaways Season 1?
242 shares @ 85.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$143.78
$-61.62
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
4715 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-750.10
- YES
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%?
1177 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-44.86
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-760.00
- YES
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-655.00
- YES
Will SWAG (Justin Bieber) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
684 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.82
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
600 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-468.00
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?
500 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Adam Scott (Severance) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Thailand win Miss Universe 2025?
430 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-67.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Bourgeois win Chopped Castaways Season 1?$50.11Jun 10, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Bourgeois win Chopped Castaways Season 1?$8.50Jun 9, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Bourgeois win Chopped Castaways Season 1?$8.50Jun 9, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Bourgeois win Chopped Castaways Season 1?$12.75Jun 9, 23:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?$4.3KJun 9, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Bourgeois win Chopped Castaways Season 1?$5.18Jun 9, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Bourgeois win Chopped Castaways Season 1?$10.20Jun 9, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Paul Bourgeois win Chopped Castaways Season 1?$110.15Jun 9, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?$193.00Jun 7, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?$1.5KJun 7, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?$96.50Jun 7, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?$1.11Jun 7, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?$19.99Jun 7, 05:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.61Jun 6, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$270.68Jun 5, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$84.71Jun 3, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$228.00Jun 2, 06:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.04Jun 2, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?$1.1KJun 1, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?$1.1KJun 1, 04:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $211.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 00:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.