Trivial-Identification
0x89a1f6337a907d8464ceeb7dcc1348959f2a4739
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$4.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
4455 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$601.48
$22.28
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
600 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$513.00
$21.00
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
581 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$502.91
$2.91
- NO
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?
764 shares @ 73.5¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$488.85
$-72.92
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
401 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$400.20
$0.20
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
255 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$236.17
$-3.83
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
204 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.1¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$200.61
$0.61
- NO
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?
244 shares @ 81.9¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$190.46
$-9.54
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
154 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$151.56
$1.56
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by July 31, 2026?
147 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$146.31
$1.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$19.98Jul 29, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.86Jul 29, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$5.73Jul 29, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?$202.53Jul 29, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?$99.32Jul 29, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?$5.03Jul 29, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?$67.26Jul 29, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?$59.31Jul 29, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$10.05Jul 29, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Athletics$2.09Jul 29, 03:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$2.10Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$404.40Jul 28, 18:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.29Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.25Jul 27, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$2.25Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $159.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.