Attached-Cucumber
0x89a92cf43ed2f3f407487176670cd41f6bc4513c
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$83.12
Total PnL
$-38.12
Realised
$7.17
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
75 shares @ 28.5¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.81
$3.31
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
118 shares @ 16.3¢·now 16.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.80
$0.70
- SPAIN
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
28 shares @ 68.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$18.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 32.1¢·now 32.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.97
$0.17
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
80 shares @ 12.5¢·now 12.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?
2299 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
77 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
26 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$19.18Jul 6, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.96Jul 6, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.41Jul 6, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.26Jul 6, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score$40.00Jul 6, 04:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score$20.30Jul 5, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5$20.69Jul 5, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5$12.15Jul 5, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.71Jul 5, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.95Jul 5, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.91Jul 5, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?$0.00Jul 5, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?$3.08Jul 4, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.83Jul 4, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.81Jul 4, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$2.08Jul 4, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Jul 4, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$2.13Jul 4, 19:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $6.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.