Ironclad-Heart
0x89cccda1776cbae88401e3668ac9ab08cf2a9e01
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$25.52
Total PnL
$-97.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$6.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in August 2026?
20 shares @ 37.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.90
$-1.50
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in August 2026?
11 shares @ 56.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.03
$-2.33
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?
20 shares @ 27.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.60
$-2.80
- YES
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
8 shares @ 30.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2026$1.99
$-0.31
- YES
Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?
20 shares @ 31.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.60
$-4.60
- YES
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2026$1.40
$-4.60
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?
40 shares @ 26.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.28
$-9.12
- YES
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6?
20 shares @ 29.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.22
$-5.58
- YES
Will Attovia Therapeutics' market cap be between $700M and $800M at market close on IPO day?
68 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?$9.67Aug 5, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?$9.10Aug 5, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Attovia Therapeutics' market cap be between $700M and $800M at market close on IPO day?$28.66Aug 5, 12:15 UTC
- REWARD$2.45Aug 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$8.20Aug 4, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?$22.40Aug 4, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$8.40Aug 4, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLJeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?$5.83Aug 4, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?$5.33Aug 4, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?$0.67Aug 4, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$8.40Aug 4, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?$5.20Aug 4, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?$5.20Aug 4, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?$9.20Aug 4, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$0.32Aug 4, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6?$5.80Aug 4, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?$22.40Aug 4, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?$7.20Aug 4, 03:31 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.04Aug 4, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$13.55Aug 4, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 23:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.