Ignorant-Band
0x89e6948ae84df7f75ddccd5c48b165293cb84f32
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
133
Open notional
$52.49
Total PnL
$-400.63
Realised
$15.71
Win rate
44%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
134 shares @ 7.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.52
$-0.07
- YES
Will Lionel Messi score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$5.25
$0.65
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.93
$0.03
- YES
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.32
$0.00
- YES
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.29
$0.57
- YES
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.26
$0.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35 shares @ 10.6¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.94
$0.23
- MESSI
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
6 shares @ 61.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.57
$-0.09
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 16.8¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.33
$-0.03
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
32 shares @ 9.7¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.09
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.72Jun 14, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$2.03Jun 14, 03:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.30Jun 13, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Jr. score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.02Jun 13, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$1.01Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.30Jun 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo$3.70Jun 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will England win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? AND Will England win on 2026-06-17?$5.14Jun 13, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.34Jun 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.36Jun 13, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.44Jun 13, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 13, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.81Jun 13, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.19Jun 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$4.90Jun 13, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$2.03Jun 13, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$5.13Jun 13, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.88Jun 13, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.00Mar 16, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $7.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.