Busy-Bait
0x89f68b83ba76fece5c14913d53fe5252aa88d3f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$16.84
Total PnL
$0.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 30?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$10.00
$0.07
- YES
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.86
$1.86
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.34
$0.34
- NO
OpenAI browser by September 30?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 30?$6.28Nov 30, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 30?$3.65Nov 30, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?$1.00Aug 22, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by September 30?$1.00Aug 22, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.00Aug 22, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.00Aug 22, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$1.00Aug 22, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $2.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 11:47 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 11:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.