Long-Term-Espalier
0x8a146599083837c0fe95e7e4faf42bc519446a1b
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-3.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
1247 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.2K
$0.62
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3300 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$34.65
$-1.65
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$24.75
$-0.75
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.55
$4.95
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
600 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.30
$-0.90
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.019h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.2K14h ago
- YIELD$0.011d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.3K1d ago
- YIELD$0.012d ago
- YIELD$0.013d ago
- YIELD$0.014d ago
- REWARD$8.924d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.3K5d ago
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?$1.005d ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?$1.005d ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?$99.785d ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?$47.505d ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?$1.525d ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?$49.405d ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?$48.375d ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?$49.505d ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?$1.085d ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?$74.555d ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?$24.755d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $262.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10d ago
- Last active
- 9h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
