First-Prison
0x8a1e1e8fec1fb91f12ba3b8ebec52d2eda21bd03
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-175.82
Win rate
25%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
4036 shares @ 30.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$887.94
$-322.05
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
2582 shares @ 28.2¢·now 25.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$658.49
$-69.00
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
24059 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$324.80
$109.85
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1930 shares @ 18.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$318.42
$-31.58
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
505 shares @ 59.4¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$194.55
$-105.45
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9213 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$179.65
$9.66
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
5419 shares @ 5.2¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$165.27
$-114.72
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8192 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$155.66
$25.66
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$150.00
$50.03
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
14217 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$149.28
$-390.68
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.12Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?$95.00Jun 11, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$20.00Jun 11, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$50.00Jun 11, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$300.00Jun 11, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$100.00Jun 11, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$200.00Jun 11, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 11, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$500.00Jun 11, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$300.00Jun 11, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$100.00Jun 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$50.00Jun 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$10.00Jun 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$100.00Jun 11, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$50.00Jun 11, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$145.28Jun 11, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$511.97Jun 11, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$648.47Jun 11, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$182.79Jun 11, 19:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $256.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.