Vengeful-Rhythm
0x8a2ecb7a5ddc4e669f0da5c99c8f05865f8ed3ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$465.51
Total PnL
$-55.49
Realised
$-34.92
Win rate
20%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 75.4¢·now 77.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$14.32
$0.30
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 54.4¢·now 70.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$12.77
$2.84
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
55 shares @ 17.9¢·now 22.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.51
$2.64
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
34 shares @ 35.2¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.41
$0.43
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
13 shares @ 69.7¢·now 94.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$12.26
$3.20
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 12.1¢·now 12.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.05
$-0.05
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
160 shares @ 7.5¢·now 7.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.92
$-0.08
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
14 shares @ 85.1¢·now 85.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$11.90
$-0.02
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: July
12 shares @ 81.5¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.57
$1.79
- NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
13 shares @ 88.1¢·now 87.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.43
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.02Jul 15, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$6.06Jul 15, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.35Jul 15, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$4.88Jul 15, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$0.93Jul 15, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$2.05Jul 15, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$4.35Jul 15, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$9.54Jul 15, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$4.62Jul 15, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$5.20Jul 15, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$2.61Jul 15, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$1.36Jul 15, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "SpaceX" at Defense and Innovation Summit?$0.25Jul 15, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "SpaceX" at Defense and Innovation Summit?$1.49Jul 15, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.58Jul 15, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$4.20Jul 15, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$0.47Jul 15, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.75Jul 15, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$0.64Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$8.10Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 17:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.