Identical-Kilogram
0x8a3be48494206fef79271da09e4cd08999a9affe
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$17.32
Total PnL
$0.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bill Cassidy finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?
660 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$13.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Bruce Banman win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Warren Hamm win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
675 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Darrell Jones win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
628 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.00May 15, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Cassidy finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?$2.08May 15, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$1.07May 15, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.33May 15, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.32May 15, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.28May 15, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.53May 15, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.07May 15, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.07May 15, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.06May 15, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.06May 15, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.00May 15, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.00May 15, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.07May 15, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$5.21May 15, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$5.33May 15, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.06May 15, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.00May 15, 09:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 10:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".