Paltry-Comment
0x8a3fd8b9634d45a43b495645ff05b3d64fdc3a39
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.85
Total PnL
$-35.82
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
19 shares @ 24.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.85
$-3.67
- YES
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
50 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?
40 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
- YES
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in April?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by April 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?
19 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
5 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?$3.80Apr 20, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?$0.80Apr 16, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?$3.00Apr 16, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in April?$1.60Apr 15, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?$1.60Apr 15, 07:44 UTC
- REWARD$1.26Apr 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?$2.40Apr 13, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?$3.15Apr 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?$1.05Apr 13, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?$3.00Apr 13, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$7.29Apr 12, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$1.85Apr 12, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by April 15?$0.35Apr 12, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$0.17Apr 8, 05:39 UTC
- REWARD$1.09Apr 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?$1.82Apr 2, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?$1.56Apr 2, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?$4.60Apr 2, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$1.02Apr 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$2.40Apr 1, 23:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 13:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.