Ethical-Softening
0x8a484424061476ea916491093946728924883b24
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$108.23
Total PnL
$-12.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
15 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$15.48
$0.48
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
17 shares @ 96.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$12.92
$-3.08
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in May 2026?
12 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$12.33
$0.33
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
12 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.09
$0.09
- NO
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
9 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.15
$0.15
- NO
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.18
$0.18
- NO
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.13
$0.13
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.11
$0.11
- NO
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 13?$10.62May 13, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$14.00May 13, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$12.15May 13, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$3.00May 11, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?$5.00May 11, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$6.00May 11, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$6.00May 11, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$8.00May 11, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$8.00May 11, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$12.01May 11, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$16.03May 11, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$15.02May 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$14.02May 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in May 2026?$12.02May 11, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns$5.20May 11, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 24?$7.32May 11, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 20°C on April 24?$7.80May 11, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 24?$8.16May 11, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Zorya Luhansk win on 2026-04-23?$8.58May 11, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMOverwatch: Team Secret vs Quasar Esports (BO3) - OCS Pacific Stage 1 Group Stage$9.82May 11, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $12.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 18:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".