Light-Teriyaki
0x8a9451ca4fc5ab3dd619e042585859621b547154
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$8.06
Total PnL
$-226.53
Realised
$-13.93
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
4 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.00
$1.08
- NO
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
4 shares @ 65.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.06
$0.46
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.00
$0.84
- NO
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
528 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-79.20
- YES
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?
236 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-59.00
- YES
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
100 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
David Baszucki out as Roblox CEO in 2025?
96 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.15
- NO
Will Trump say "Peace" or "War" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?
75 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.30
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
71 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
69 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?$9.00May 21, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$24.00May 21, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$28.00May 21, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$42.00May 21, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Detroit Pistons?$191.00May 21, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMCerebras IPO before 2027?$228.00May 21, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$385.00May 21, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$395.00May 21, 03:31 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?$13.42Feb 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?$24.75Feb 8, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?$194.70Feb 8, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLRipple Labs IPO before 2027?$206.10Feb 8, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iran next?$67.00Jan 11, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?$6.16Jan 11, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRipple Labs IPO before 2027?$187.78Jan 11, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?$79.18Jan 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$116.96Jan 11, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$284.90Jan 11, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?$80.25Jan 11, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?$237.60Jan 11, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $119.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 03:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.