Rural-Wolf
0x8a94b41e3ed32f73f9551c95f32fae8889956150
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Quinn Ewers win the Heisman Trophy?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?
2220 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Emily O'Reilly win the Irish Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$1.11Apr 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.00Nov 14, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$1.00Nov 14, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.73Nov 14, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.16Nov 14, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.00Oct 17, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emily O'Reilly win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.00Oct 17, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$2.00Oct 17, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?$1.01Oct 17, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?$1.00Sep 17, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$2.32Sep 8, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.03Aug 3, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces in Iran before August?$1.02Aug 3, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Jul 6, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? $1.23Jul 6, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$5.13Jul 6, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Iran before August?$1.00Jul 1, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? $1.00Jun 27, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US military action against Iran by June 30?$4.95Jun 27, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$1.86Jun 27, 14:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 16:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 19:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".