Informal-Stylus
0x8aabbfc94be9ec352994425e217ab4fb75a61323
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$122.28
Total PnL
$-144.82
Realised
$-20.09
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2027?
80 shares @ 60.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$48.40
$0.40
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
43 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$26.88
$0.21
- YES
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?
30 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$20.40
$0.00
- NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
17 shares @ 47.2¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$7.76
$-0.47
- NO
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.19
$1.81
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?
20 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.67
$0.10
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.99
$0.05
- YES
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
7 shares @ 39.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$2.63
$0.03
- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $10M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 68.5¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.56
$-0.06
- YES
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?
3 shares @ 23.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$1.42
$0.63
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$7.00Jun 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$25.05Jun 13, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$5.95Jun 13, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$62.00Jun 13, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$2.66Jun 13, 18:47 UTC
- MERGEWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?$5.00Jun 13, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?$47.25Jun 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?$78.50Jun 13, 16:42 UTC
- MERGEWill Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?$95.00Jun 13, 16:40 UTC
- MERGEWill Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 13, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$1.89Jun 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$19.56Jun 13, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$4.71Jun 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$1.89Jun 13, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$0.45Jun 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$3.75Jun 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$3.30Jun 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$7.50Jun 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$18.00Jun 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title?$49.13Jun 13, 14:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $29.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 07:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.