Variable-Pharmacopoeia
0x8ab6746e47d4c9b2848dbee499a20afc26610a4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$15.99
Total PnL
$-331.96
Realised
$6.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
26 shares @ 56.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$15.99
$1.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 18?
592 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on May 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 1?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 1?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 1?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 10?
300 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 2?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 8?
290 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.92Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.27Jun 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.73Jun 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.01Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$14.18Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.43Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.04Jun 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.09Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.51Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.91Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.14Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.06Jun 2, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$14.56Jun 1, 02:05 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.00May 16, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.09May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.84May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.39May 12, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.55May 11, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.36May 10, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 10?$4.60May 9, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $5.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.