Useful-Independence
0x8ac079ab25ef14f3fdddd253a6ea011739c10653
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.94
Total PnL
$-331.00
Realised
$6.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.07
$-1.93
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
119 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.06
$-48.41
- YES
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
118 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.06
$-1.94
- YES
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
93 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.05
$-1.95
- YES
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
85 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.04
$-3.96
- YES
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
81 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.04
$-2.96
- NO
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
248 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-56.89
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?
148 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$8.68May 30, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00Apr 21, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$8.70Apr 17, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$48.47Apr 7, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Apr 7, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$7.62Mar 19, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$8.92Mar 19, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.87Mar 19, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?$25.25Mar 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$26.85Mar 15, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?$14.41Mar 15, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?$18.66Mar 10, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.66Mar 8, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$19.51Feb 27, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$18.47Feb 9, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$38.42Feb 8, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?$11.01Feb 7, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?$15.84Feb 7, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the January meeting?$100.56Feb 1, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$6.49Jan 27, 22:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $19.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 15:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 17:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".