Swift-Scrap
0x8ac55c92d73b17d68b9696f8b664187a6b8b166f
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$33.07
Total PnL
$-35.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
16 shares @ 69.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.64
$-1.35
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 51.4¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
8 shares @ 65.7¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.84
$-1.16
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- NO
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
NATO dissolves before 2027?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Trump talk to MrBeast in March?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.00Apr 4, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 4, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in March?$1.00Mar 1, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in March?$1.00Mar 1, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to MrBeast in March?$1.00Mar 1, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in March?$1.00Mar 1, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?$1.00Mar 1, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$5.00Mar 1, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$1.00Mar 1, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Mar 1, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Mar 1, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.00Mar 1, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.00Mar 1, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$5.00Mar 1, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$5.00Mar 1, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1.00Mar 1, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$5.00Mar 1, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$5.00Mar 1, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$3.49Feb 21, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.00Feb 21, 18:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 05:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 18:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.