0x8acd5ac02b84c221ce06d701a73fa665610470aa
0x8acd5ac02b84c221ce06d701a73fa665610470aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$15.81
Total PnL
$-7.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Nasty" this week? (March 8)
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$4.84
$1.69
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.63
$-5.42
- NO
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.46
$-0.58
- NO
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.57
$-0.44
- YES
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.32
$-1.68
- YES
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$2.00Apr 13, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.85Apr 13, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.02Apr 13, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?$2.01Apr 1, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?$0.80Mar 27, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$10.05Mar 12, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nasty" this week? (March 8)$3.15Mar 6, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?$5.04Mar 5, 22:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $3.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 20:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".