Old-Outfielder
0x8ae0869e89c04b8c174f4582325ad402c746237c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$53.7K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
25400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$21.7K
$9.0K
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
26000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.4K
$1.4K
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
26000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.6K
$-1.4K
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
25400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.7K
$-9.0K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
998 shares @ 90.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$964.37
$59.37
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?
479 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$478.92
$28.92
- NO
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?
356 shares @ 85.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$355.67
$50.67
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
283 shares @ 84.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$272.27
$34.28
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
260 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$248.96
$17.79
- YES
Will Solana dip to $170 in September?
709 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$4.62Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$4.62Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.